Title of article
Comments on generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation
Author/Authors
Renata J. Romanowicz، نويسنده , , Keith J. Beven، نويسنده ,
Issue Information
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2006
Pages
7
From page
1315
To page
1321
Abstract
The paper presents an application of the generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation methodology to the problem of estimating the uncertainty of predictions produced by environmental models. The methodology is placed in a wider context of different approaches to inverse modelling and, in particular, a comparison is made with Bayesian estimation techniques based on explicit structural assumptions about model error. Using a simple example of a rainfall-flow model, different evaluation measures and their influence on the prediction uncertainty and credibility intervals are demonstrated.
Keywords
Bayesian inference , Deterministic environmental models , Generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) , Model determination
Journal title
Reliability Engineering and System Safety
Serial Year
2006
Journal title
Reliability Engineering and System Safety
Record number
1187540
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