Human-level artificial general intelligence and the possibility of a technological singularity: A reaction to Ray Kurzweilʹs The Singularity Is Near, and McDermottʹs critique of Kurzweil Original Research Article

An analysis of Ray Kurzweilʹs recent book The Singularity Is Near is given, along with Drew McDermottʹs recent critique. The conclusion is that Kurzweil does an excellent job of fleshing out one particular plausible scenario regarding the future of AI, in which human-level AI first arrives via human-brain emulation. McDermottʹs arguments against the notion of Singularity via iteratively self-improving AI, as described by Kurzweil, are considered and found wanting. However, it is pointed out that the scenario focused on by Kurzweil is not the only plausible one; and an alternative is discussed, in which human-level AI arrives first via non-human-like AIʹs operating virtual worlds.