Title of article :
Dynamics of a multigroup SIR epidemic model with stochastic perturbation
Author/Authors :
Ji، نويسنده , , Chunyan and Jiang، نويسنده , , Daqing and Yang، نويسنده , , Qingshan and Shi، نويسنده , , Ningzhong، نويسنده ,
Issue Information :
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2012
Abstract :
In this paper, we introduce stochasticity into a multigroup SIR (susceptible, infective, and recovered) model. The stochasticity in the model is introduced by parameter perturbation, which is a standard technique in stochastic population modeling. In the deterministic models, the basic reproduction number R 0 is a threshold which completely determines the persistence or extinction of the disease. We carry out a detailed analysis on the asymptotic behavior of the stochastic model, also regarding of the value of R 0 . If R 0 ≤ 1 , the solution of the model is oscillating around a steady state, which is the disease-free equilibrium of the corresponding deterministic model, whereas, if R 0 > 1 , there is a stationary distribution, which means that the disease will prevail.
Keywords :
Stochastic SIR model , Disease-free equilibrium , Endemic Equilibrium , Stationary distribution , Ergodicity
Journal title :
Automatica
Journal title :
Automatica