Title of article
Size and power of tests of stationarity in highly autocorrelated time series
Author/Authors
Müller، نويسنده , , Ulrich K.، نويسنده ,
Issue Information
دوفصلنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2005
Pages
19
From page
195
To page
213
Abstract
Tests of stationarity are routinely applied to highly autocorrelated time series. Following Kwiatkowski et al. (J. Econom. 54 (1992) 159), standard stationarity tests employ a rescaling by an estimator of the long-run variance of the (potentially) stationary series. This paper analytically investigates the size and power properties of such tests when the series are strongly autocorrelated in a local-to-unity asymptotic framework. It is shown that the behavior of the tests strongly depends on the long-run variance estimator employed, but is in general highly undesirable. Either the tests fail to control size even for strongly mean reverting series, or they are inconsistent against an integrated process and discriminate only poorly between stationary and integrated processes compared to optimal statistics.
Keywords
Long-run variance estimation , Mean reversion , Local-to-unity asymptotics , Efficient stationarity tests
Journal title
Journal of Econometrics
Serial Year
2005
Journal title
Journal of Econometrics
Record number
1558787
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