Title of article :
Comments on generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation
Author/Authors :
Romanowicz، نويسنده , , Renata J. and Beven، نويسنده , , Keith J.، نويسنده ,
Issue Information :
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2006
Pages :
7
From page :
1315
To page :
1321
Abstract :
The paper presents an application of the generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation methodology to the problem of estimating the uncertainty of predictions produced by environmental models. The methodology is placed in a wider context of different approaches to inverse modelling and, in particular, a comparison is made with Bayesian estimation techniques based on explicit structural assumptions about model error. Using a simple example of a rainfall-flow model, different evaluation measures and their influence on the prediction uncertainty and credibility intervals are demonstrated.
Keywords :
Bayesian inference , Deterministic environmental models , Generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) , model determination
Journal title :
Reliability Engineering and System Safety
Serial Year :
2006
Journal title :
Reliability Engineering and System Safety
Record number :
1569169
Link To Document :
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