• Title of article

    Comments on generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation

  • Author/Authors

    Romanowicz، نويسنده , , Renata J. and Beven، نويسنده , , Keith J.، نويسنده ,

  • Issue Information
    روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2006
  • Pages
    7
  • From page
    1315
  • To page
    1321
  • Abstract
    The paper presents an application of the generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation methodology to the problem of estimating the uncertainty of predictions produced by environmental models. The methodology is placed in a wider context of different approaches to inverse modelling and, in particular, a comparison is made with Bayesian estimation techniques based on explicit structural assumptions about model error. Using a simple example of a rainfall-flow model, different evaluation measures and their influence on the prediction uncertainty and credibility intervals are demonstrated.
  • Keywords
    Bayesian inference , Deterministic environmental models , Generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) , model determination
  • Journal title
    Reliability Engineering and System Safety
  • Serial Year
    2006
  • Journal title
    Reliability Engineering and System Safety
  • Record number

    1569169