Author/Authors :
Helton، نويسنده , , J.C. and Anderson-Cook، نويسنده , , Dr. Stanley Baker، نويسنده , , B.L. and Bean، نويسنده , , J.E. and Berglund، نويسنده , , J.W. and Beyeler، نويسنده , , W. and Blaine، نويسنده , , R. and Economy، نويسنده , , K. and Garner، نويسنده , , J.W. and Hora، نويسنده , , S.C. and Lincoln، نويسنده , , R.C. and Marietta، نويسنده , , M.G. and Mendenhall، نويسنده , , F.T. and Prindle، نويسنده , , N.H. and Rudeen، نويسنده , , D.K. and Schreiber، نويسنده , , J.D. and Shiver، نويسنده , , A.W. and Smith، نويسنده , , L.N. and Swift، نويسنده , , P.N. and Vaughn، نويسنده , , P.، نويسنده ,
Abstract :
A systems prioritization methodology (SPM) is under development for the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP). The SPM is based on a large numerical integration problem that must be repeatedly evaluated to determine compliance probabilities associated with different experimental programs and design modifications. Due to the complexity and computational cost of the underlying integration problem, the implementation of the SPM must be planned very carefully. This presentation describes a preliminary application of the SPM, designated SPM-l, performed to provide insights to facilitate the development and implementation of the methodology. Topics illustrated by SPM-1 include definition of probability spaces on which the SPM is based, use of Latin hypercube sampling and simple random sampling to integrate over different probability spaces, selection of mechanistic calculations to be performed, efficient use of the limited number of mechanistic calculations that can be performed, and assembly of many individual calculations into a complete analysis.
