Title of article
An alternative approach to trend analysis in accident data
Author/Authors
Kvalّy، نويسنده , , J.T. and Aven، نويسنده , , T.، نويسنده ,
Issue Information
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2005
Pages
8
From page
75
To page
82
Abstract
Traditional statistical theory is the most common tool used for trend analysis in accident data. In this paper, we point at some serious problems in using this theory in a practical safety management setting. An alternative approach is presented and discussed in which focus is on observable quantities and expressing uncertainties regarding these rather than on hypothetical probability distributions.
Keywords
Trend analysis , Accident data , Predictive Bayesian approach , Risk analysis
Journal title
Reliability Engineering and System Safety
Serial Year
2005
Journal title
Reliability Engineering and System Safety
Record number
1571531
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