• Title of article

    Implications of contrarian and one-sided strategies for the fair-coin game

  • Author/Authors

    Horikoshi، نويسنده , , Yasunori and Takemura، نويسنده , , Akimichi، نويسنده ,

  • Issue Information
    روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2008
  • Pages
    18
  • From page
    2125
  • To page
    2142
  • Abstract
    We derive some results on contrarian and one-sided strategies of Skeptic for the fair-coin game in the framework of the game-theoretic probability of Shafer and Vovk [G. Shafer and V. Vovk. Probability and Finance — It’s Only a Game!, Wiley, New York, 2001]. In particular, as regards the rate of convergence of the strong law of large numbers (SLLN), we prove that Skeptic can force that the convergence has to be slower than or equal to O ( n − 1 / 2 ) . This is achieved by a very simple contrarian strategy of Skeptic. This type of result, bounding the rate of convergence from below, contrasts with more standard results of bounding the rate of SLLN from above by using momentum strategies. We also derive a corresponding one-sided result.
  • Keywords
    Game-theoretic probability , Law of the iterated logarithm , Momentum Strategy , strong law of large numbers
  • Journal title
    Stochastic Processes and their Applications
  • Serial Year
    2008
  • Journal title
    Stochastic Processes and their Applications
  • Record number

    1578038