Title of article
Implications of contrarian and one-sided strategies for the fair-coin game
Author/Authors
Horikoshi، نويسنده , , Yasunori and Takemura، نويسنده , , Akimichi، نويسنده ,
Issue Information
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2008
Pages
18
From page
2125
To page
2142
Abstract
We derive some results on contrarian and one-sided strategies of Skeptic for the fair-coin game in the framework of the game-theoretic probability of Shafer and Vovk [G. Shafer and V. Vovk. Probability and Finance — It’s Only a Game!, Wiley, New York, 2001]. In particular, as regards the rate of convergence of the strong law of large numbers (SLLN), we prove that Skeptic can force that the convergence has to be slower than or equal to O ( n − 1 / 2 ) . This is achieved by a very simple contrarian strategy of Skeptic. This type of result, bounding the rate of convergence from below, contrasts with more standard results of bounding the rate of SLLN from above by using momentum strategies. We also derive a corresponding one-sided result.
Keywords
Game-theoretic probability , Law of the iterated logarithm , Momentum Strategy , strong law of large numbers
Journal title
Stochastic Processes and their Applications
Serial Year
2008
Journal title
Stochastic Processes and their Applications
Record number
1578038
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