Title of article :
Sequential tracking of a hidden Markov chain using point process observations
Author/Authors :
Bayraktar، نويسنده , , Erhan and Ludkovski، نويسنده , , Michael، نويسنده ,
Issue Information :
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2009
Abstract :
We study finite horizon optimal switching problems for hidden Markov chain models with point process observations. The controller possesses a finite range of strategies and attempts to track the state of the unobserved state variable using Bayesian updates over the discrete observations. Such a model has applications in economic policy making, staffing under variable demand levels and generalized Poisson disorder problems. We show regularity of the value function and explicitly characterize an optimal strategy. We also provide an efficient numerical scheme and illustrate our results with several computational examples.
Keywords :
Markov modulated Poisson processes , optimal switching
Journal title :
Stochastic Processes and their Applications
Journal title :
Stochastic Processes and their Applications