How inbreeding and outbreeding influence the risk of extinction – a genetically explicit model

We have developed a stochastic model to explore the common effect which genetics and demography have on the extinction risk of endangered populations. The dynamics is formulated as a Markovian birth and death process (in continuous time), whereby selection acts through different mortalities of each genotype. With the help of this model we are able to show how inbreeding and outbreeding can influence the genetic variability and the survival of a population. Whether inbreeding or outbreeding takes place depends on the specific mating system. In our model we consider positive assortative as well as disassortative mating. In the case of additive fitness we show that inbreeding reduces the extinction risk and the genetic variability.