Late-onset heart failure as a mechanism for adverse long-term outcome in diabetic patients undergoing revascularization (a 13-year report from the Lady Davis Carmel Medical Center Registry)

The adverse long-term prognosis following myocardial revascularization in diabetic patients has been ascribed to accelerated coronary disease, a higher incidence of late coronary restenosis after revascularization, and myocardial dysfunction. To examine the development of heart failure and its prognostic implications in diabetic patients, we analyzed the long-term (13-year) follow-up data of 363 patients—193 percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasties and 170 coronary artery bypass operations—revascularized in a single cardiovascular center from 1984 to 1986. Baseline characteristics (age, previous infarction, baseline ventricular function) were similar in the 80 diabetic and 283 nondiabetic patients; multivessel disease and hypertension were marginally more common in diabetics (p = NS). Cumulative incidence of hospitalization for heart failure was high in the diabetic cohort (25% vs 11%, p = 0.001), with a rapidly increasing incidence after 5 years. Survival after first hospitalization for heart failure was markedly reduced in diabetics (11 of 20 [55%] vs 25 of 31 [81%] at 3 years; p = 0.04), as was survival free of further hospitalization for heart failure (5 of 20 [25%] vs 20 of 30 [63%]; p <0.005). Long-term 13-year survival (43% vs 78%, p <0.0001) and survival free of heart failure (33% vs 71%, p <0.0001) were decreased in diabetics, especially those with reduced ventricular function at baseline (17% vs 42%, p = 0.07). Multivariate analysis showed diabetes to be the strongest independent predictor of decreased survival (odds ratio 3.6, 95% confidence interval 2.0 to 6.2; p <0.0001) and survival free of heart failure (odds ratio 4.0, 95% confidence interval 2.2 to 7.1; p <0.0001) in patients undergoing revascularization. In summary, late-onset heart failure was frequent in diabetic patients after percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty or coronary artery bypass grafting, and once present heralded an unrelenting progressive downhill clinical course.