Title of article :
Estimation of finite sequential games
Author/Authors :
Maruyama، نويسنده , , G. Shiko، نويسنده ,
Abstract :
I propose a new estimation method for finite sequential games that is efficient, computationally attractive, and applicable to a fairly general class of finite sequential games that is beyond the scope of existing studies. The major challenge is the computation of high-dimensional truncated integration whose domain is complicated by strategic interaction. This complication resolves when unobserved off-the-equilibrium-path strategies are controlled for. Separately evaluating the likelihood contribution of each subgame-perfect equilibrium that generates the observed outcome allows the use of the GHK simulator, a widely used importance-sampling probit simulator. Monte Carlo experiments demonstrate the performance and robustness of the proposed method.
Keywords :
Sequential games , Inference in discrete games , GHK simulator , Monte Carlo integration , Subgame perfection
Journal title :
Astroparticle Physics