Title of article
A note about calibrated prediction regions and distributions
Author/Authors
Fonseca، نويسنده , , Giovanni and Giummolè، نويسنده , , Federica and Vidoni، نويسنده , , Paolo، نويسنده ,
Issue Information
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2012
Pages
9
From page
2726
To page
2734
Abstract
In this work we address the problem of the construction of prediction regions and distribution functions, with particular regard to the multidimensional setting. Firstly, we define a simple procedure for calculating the predictive distribution function which gives improved prediction limits. Secondly, with a multivariate generalization of a result presented in Ueki and Fueda (2007), we propose a method for correcting estimative prediction regions, to reduce their coverage error to the third-order accuracy. The improved prediction regions and the associated distribution functions are easy to calculate using a suitable bootstrap procedure. Examples of application are included, showing the good performance of the proposed method, even if we consider an approximated model for prediction purposes.
Keywords
Estimative prediction limit , Parametric bootstrap , Coverage probability , Prediction region , Predictive Distribution
Journal title
Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference
Serial Year
2012
Journal title
Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference
Record number
2222091
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