• Title of article

    A note about calibrated prediction regions and distributions

  • Author/Authors

    Fonseca، نويسنده , , Giovanni and Giummolè، نويسنده , , Federica and Vidoni، نويسنده , , Paolo، نويسنده ,

  • Issue Information
    روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2012
  • Pages
    9
  • From page
    2726
  • To page
    2734
  • Abstract
    In this work we address the problem of the construction of prediction regions and distribution functions, with particular regard to the multidimensional setting. Firstly, we define a simple procedure for calculating the predictive distribution function which gives improved prediction limits. Secondly, with a multivariate generalization of a result presented in Ueki and Fueda (2007), we propose a method for correcting estimative prediction regions, to reduce their coverage error to the third-order accuracy. The improved prediction regions and the associated distribution functions are easy to calculate using a suitable bootstrap procedure. Examples of application are included, showing the good performance of the proposed method, even if we consider an approximated model for prediction purposes.
  • Keywords
    Estimative prediction limit , Parametric bootstrap , Coverage probability , Prediction region , Predictive Distribution
  • Journal title
    Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference
  • Serial Year
    2012
  • Journal title
    Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference
  • Record number

    2222091