Environmental controls on new and primary production in the northern Indian Ocean

Oceans are a significant part of the atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) sink, but their efficiency to sequester CO2 is constrained by the availability of reactive nitrogen, a major limiting nutrient in most of the surface ocean. Because the export flux is difficult to measure directly, new production estimates are useful as a measure of annual carbon export from the sunlit ocean layer. We have analysed data on new, regenerated and primary production based on the 15N tracer incubation experiments from a series of research cruises that were conducted during 1994–2007 in the northern Indian Ocean with an aim to identify environmental variables which control ocean productivity. There are a number of hypotheses concerning the environmental controls on productivity, most of which have not been assessed against direct measurements. Using step-wise multi linear regression (MLR) analysis, we found significant correlation between primary production and sea surface temperature (SST), phosphate (PO43−) and silicate (Si). Sea surface salinity (SSS), nitrate (NO3−), N:Si and solar radiation are identified as the predictors explaining the most variance in the observed f ratio (ratio of new production to total production). The observed spatial variations in new production could neither be significantly explained by linear regression nor MLR, however, using primary production and f ratio, we have significantly modelled new production on a basin scale. Our findings suggest that the Bay of Bengal could be as important as the Arabian Sea in its efficiency to export carbon to the deep ocean.