Title of article :
Stochastic models for wind speed forecasting
Author/Authors :
Bivona، نويسنده , , S. and Bonanno، نويسنده , , G. and Burlon، نويسنده , , R. and Gurrera، نويسنده , , D. and Leone، نويسنده , , C.، نويسنده ,
Issue Information :
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2011
Abstract :
This paper is concerned with the problem of developing a general class of stochastic models for hourly average wind speed time series. The proposed approach has been applied to the time series recorded during 4 years in two sites of Sicily, a region of Italy, and it has attained valuable results in terms both of modelling and forecasting. Moreover, the 24 h predictions obtained employing only 1-month time series are quite similar to those provided by a feed-forward artificial neural network trained on 2 years data.
Keywords :
Wind forecasting , stochastic models , Time series , Model selection , Spectral Analysis , Artificial neural networks
Journal title :
Energy Conversion and Management
Journal title :
Energy Conversion and Management