Title of article :
Adaptive neuro-fuzzy optimization of wind farm project net profit
Author/Authors :
Shamshirband، نويسنده , , Shahaboddin and Petkovi?، نويسنده , , Dalibor and ?ojba?i?، نويسنده , , ?arko and Nikoli?، نويسنده , , Vlastimir and Anuar، نويسنده , , Nor Badrul and Mohd Shuib، نويسنده , , Nor Liyana and Mat Kiah، نويسنده , , Miss Laiha and Akib، نويسنده , , Shatirah، نويسنده ,
Issue Information :
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2014
Abstract :
A wind power plant which consists of a group of wind turbines at a specific location is also known as wind farm. To maximize the wind farm net profit, the number of turbines installed in the wind farm should be different in depend on wind farm project investment parameters. In this paper, in order to achieve the maximal net profit of a wind farm, an intelligent optimization scheme based on the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) is applied. As the net profit measures, net present value (NPV) and interest rate of return (IRR) are used. The NPV and IRR are two of the most important criteria for project investment estimating. The general approach in determining the accept/reject/stay in different decision for a project via NPV and IRR is to treat the cash flows as known with certainty. However, even small deviations from the predetermined values may easily invalidate the decision. In the proposed model the ANFIS estimator adjusts the number of turbines installed in the wind farm, for operating at the highest net profit point. The performance of proposed optimizer is confirmed by simulation results. Some outstanding properties of this new estimator are online implementation capability, structural simplicity and its robustness against any changes in wind farm parameters. Based on the simulation results, the effectiveness of the proposed optimization strategy is verified.
Keywords :
Wind farm , Net present value (NPV) , optimization , ANFIS , Interest rate of return (IRR)
Journal title :
Energy Conversion and Management
Journal title :
Energy Conversion and Management