Author/Authors :
Hamacher، نويسنده , , T and Lako، نويسنده , , Jan Fekke Ybema، نويسنده , , J.R and Korhonen، نويسنده , , R and Aquilonius، نويسنده , , K and Cabal، نويسنده , , H and Hallberg، نويسنده , , B and Lechَn، نويسنده , , Y and Lepicard، نويسنده , , S and Sلez، نويسنده , , R.M. and Schneider، نويسنده , , T and Ward، نويسنده , , D، نويسنده ,
Abstract :
If measures to reduce greenhouse gas-emissions are taken and if fission will be phased out at the beginning of the 22nd century fusion has a good chance to win considerable shares of the electricity market. A detailed model of the Western-European energy system was made using the MARKAL toolkit. Scenarios were designed to understand the conditions that would make fusion a viable electricity production technique. Globally it is very likely that at least the first half of the 21st century will still be dominated by the use of fossil fuels, with a shift away from oil to natural gas. Energy and electricity demand are likely to increase over the complete 21st century.