Abstract :
The evaluation of seismic slope performance during earthquakes is important, because the
failure of slope (such as an earth dam, natural slope, or constructed earth embankment) can
result in significant financial losses and human. It is important, therefore, to be able to
forecast such displacements induced by earthquake. However, the traditional forecasting
methods, such as empirical formulae, are inaccurate because most of them do not take into
consideration all the relevant factors. In this paper, new intelligence method, namely
relevance vector regression (RVR) optimized by dolphin echolocation (DE) and grey wolf
optimizer (GWO) algorithms is introduced to forecast the earthquake induced displacements
(EID) of slopes. The DE and GWO algorithms is combined with the RVR for determining
the optimal value of its user-defined paramee RVR. The performances of the proposed
predictive models were examined according to two performance indices, i.e., coefficient of
determination (R2) and mean square error (MSE). The obtained results of this study
indicated that the RVR-GWO model is a reliable method to forecast EID with a higher
degree of accuracy (MSE= 0.0160 and R2= 0.9955).
Keywords :
Seismic Slope Performance , Relevance Vector Regression , Dolphin Echolocation Algorithm , Grey Wolf Optimizer Algorithm