Title of article :
Bayes, E-Bayes and Robust Bayes Premium Estimation and Prediction under the Squared Log Error Loss Function
Author/Authors :
Kiapour, Azadeh Department of Statistics - Babol Branch - Islamic Azad University, Babol, Iran
Abstract :
In risk analysis based on Bayesian framework, premium calculation requires specification of a prior distribution for the risk parameter in the heterogeneous portfolio. When the prior knowledge is vague, the E-Bayesian and robust Bayesian analysis can be used to handle the uncertainty in specifying the prior distribution by considering a class of priors instead of a single prior. In this paper, we study the E-Bayes and robust Bayes premium estimation and prediction in exponential model under the squared log error loss function. A prequential analysis in a simulation study is carried out to compare the proposed predictors. Finally, a real data example is included for illustrating the results
Keywords :
Bayes premium , Class of priors , Robust Bayes premium , Exponential distribution , E-Bayes premium
Journal title :
Journal of the Iranian Statistical Society (JIRSS)