Title of article :
An early prediction of the maximum amplitude of the solar cycle 25
Author/Authors :
Helal, Hamid R. National Research Institute of Astronomy and Geophysics, Egypt , Galal, A.A. National Research Institute of Astronomy and Geophysics, Egypt
From page :
275
To page :
278
Abstract :
A solar activity precursor technique of spotless event has been currently used to predict the strengths and the times of rise of the 11-year coming cycles. This simple statistical method has been previously applied to predict the maximum amplitudes and the times of rises of cycles 22 and 23. The results obtained are successful for both cycles. A developed version of the suggested method was previously used to make an early forecast of the characteristic parameters of the cycle 24. In this work the preliminarily predicted parameters of the cycle 24 are checked using observed values of the spotless events. In addition, the developed method is also applied to forecast the maximum amplitude and time of rise of the 25th solar cycle. The maximum Wolf number and time of rise of the latter cycle are found to be 118.2 and 4.0 years respectively.
Keywords :
Spotless event , Maximum wolf number , Time of rise , Solar cycle
Journal title :
Journal of Advanced Research
Journal title :
Journal of Advanced Research
Record number :
2593494
Link To Document :
بازگشت