DETERMINING THE STEADY-STATE PROBABILITY FOR THE DAILY MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE IN PENINSULAR MALAYSIA USING MARKOV CHAIN

The objective of this study was to determine the steady-state probability for the daily maximum temperature in Peninsular Malaysia. Data of daily maximum temperature from Malaysian Meteorological Department were analyzed. Ten stations in Peninsular Malaysia were examined. The transition count, chi-square test, transition probability and steady-state probability were obtained. The steady-state probability results showed that after a sufficiently long time, there was a high probability for the stations to encounter the slightly warm temperature, with the range of maximum temperature from 30.1°C to 34.0°C, except Chuping and Alor Setar tend to be warmer with the range of maximum temperature from 38.1°C to 42.0°C and Muadzam Shah tend to be in warm state with the range of maximum temperature from 34.1°C to 38.0°C. The importance of knowing the steady-state probability of slightly cool, neutral, slightly warm, warm and hot temperature would help the citizens with the awareness and effects of climate warming.