A Study of the Effects of Lifestyle Changes on Urban Trip Generation with an Approach to Futures Studies: A Case Study of Tehran Region 6

This research is a descriptive analytical study. The goal was to identify the key factors that affect lifestyle changes and urban trip generation. To achieve this goal, we used two components (pattern, value), 20 criteria (social, economic, cultural, psychological, political, etc.), and 56 variables. For data analysis, the Delphi method, cross-impact analysis and MICMAC were used. The results showed that 25 factors were key factors affecting urban lifestyle changes and urban trip generation. These factors, in order of priority, were: increasing income level of people; more welcoming to urban residents from well-kept homes and high-quality residential neighborhoods; changing role of streets for a new type of recreational trips apart from serving traffic;increasing number of young and adolescents in the region; increasing daily, monthly, seasonal and annual purchases from large retail stores and luxury shopping malls away from downtown; increasing residency of people in new and high-quality urban areas away from the central areas of the city; increasing rate of apartment living and people’s preference to stay in apartments rather than single-family houses; increasing number of single people; increasing non work-related trips, etc. Moreover, the results showed that changes in patterns lead to changes in values and, ultimately, lifestyle changes and increased urban trip generation.