Title of article :
Modeling the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease Pandemic Coupled with Fear Epidemics
Author/Authors :
Mpeshe, Saul C Department of Mathematical Sciences - University of Iringa - Iringa, Tanzania , Nyerere, Nkuba Department Mathematics - Informatics and Computational Science - Sokoine University of Agriculture - Morogoro, Tanzania
Abstract :
A modeling approach to investigate the dynamics of COVID-19 epidemics coupled with fear is presented in this paper. The basic
reproduction number R0 is computed and employed in analysing the effect of initial transmission and the conditions for disease
control or eradication. Numerical simulations show that whenever there is an outbreak coupled with fear, the disease is likely to
persist in the first two months, and after that, it will start to slow down as the recovery rate from fear increases. An increase in
the number of recovered individuals lead to a rise in the number of susceptibles and consequently set off a second wave of
infection in the third month of the epidemic.
Keywords :
Dynamics , Pandemic , Epidemics , COVID-19
Journal title :
Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine