Title of article :
MODELING AND FORECASTING OF ENERGY SCENARIO IN PAKISTAN WITH APPLICATION OF DECENTRALIZED ENERGY PLANNING
Author/Authors :
Syed, Maira Shakeel University of Engineering Technology, KSK Campus - Mechanical Engineering Department, Pakistan , Chaudhry, Ijaz Ahmad University of Engineering Technology - Mechanical Engineering Department, Pakistan , Farooq, Muhammad University of Engineering Technology, KSK Campus - Mechanical Engineering Department, Pakistan , Qamar, Adnan University of Engineering Technology, KSK Campus - Mechanical Engineering Department, Pakistan
Abstract :
The global energy demand has enlarged in recent years as a result of industrial development and population growth. This scenario has even intensified in Pakistan affecting industrial as well as domestic and agriculture sectors, causing 2-3% of GDP loss annually. According to Pakistan Energy Year Book 2012, Pakistan generation capacity being 95365GWh is far greater than the consumption 76,761GWh, indicating that these power-outages are not because of lack of generation capacity but improper energy management. The current pattern of centralized electricity based on costly imported oil, has resulted in inequities, debts and high transmission losses. Therefore, a change in overall energy mix has to be made considering requirements and regional availability of competent resources which can be possible by introducing Decentralized Energy Planning in power policy. In the present research work a comprehensive energy model for Pakistan has been created using LEAP, identifying the loop-holes in system and presenting possible remedies for the current energy crunch.
Keywords :
Energy Outlook , Energy Modeling , Decentralized Energy Planning , LEAP
Journal title :
Journal of Faculty of Engineering and technology (JFET)
Journal title :
Journal of Faculty of Engineering and technology (JFET)
