Author/Authors :
Bener, A. Weill Cornell Medical College of Qatar - Department of Public Health, Qatar , Hussain, S.J. World Health Organization - Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean - Healthy Lifestyle Promotion, Violence and Injury Prevention, Egypt , Al-Malki, M.A. Ministry of Interior - Traffic and Patrol Department, Qatar , Shotar, M.M. University of Qatar - College of Business and Economics - Department of Finance and Economics, Qatar , Al-Said, M.F. National Health Authority, Qatar , Jadaan, K.S. Al-Isra Private University - Faculty of Engineering - Department of Civil Engineering, Jordan
Abstract :
Smeed’s equation is a widely used model for prediction of traffic fatalities but has been found inadequate for use in developing countries. We applied regression analysis to time-series data on vehicles, population and traffic fatalities in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Jordan and Qatar. The data were fitted to exponential models for fatality prediction, producing an average absolute error of 20.9% for Qatar, 10.9% for Jordan and 5.5% for the UAE. We found a strong linear relationship between gross domestic product and fatality rate.
