An Analysis of the Bank Asya League Teams that rose to Spor Toto Super League in 2010-2011 season through Logit Model

The primary aim of football is to score goal. Any event or skill other than this is secondary. Thus, in a football game every move is about scoring goal and not conceding a goal. Within this study, Bank Asya League teams were analyzed in terms of some variables through Logit model. If a dependent variable can have two values- that is, if a characteristic is present or absent- then we can talk about dependent dummy variables. Logit models, used frequently in analysis of variables which can take two values, can produce real-like successful results. This study investigates the contributions of some chosen variables (the number of goals scored, the number of yellow cards, the number of red cards, points earned, the number of goals scored in the first 15 minutes) to the model. The variables were chosen depending on the goal conceding status of three professional football teams that rose to the Spor Toto Super League in 2010-2011 season. Consequently, the study shows that the success of teams can be estimated statistically in terms of some variables both at home and away. The study has shown that investigating some features of teams and recording these can be considered as an effective indicator in estimating the teams’ success rank. Hence, it has been determined that the teams which rose to the first league both had high points and ranked high in terms of specific parameters and thus were advantageous at the end of 32 matches. This study conducted through Logit model shows that models with two value variables can be successfully applied to sports statistics. Thus, paying attention to model analysis can help coaches to reach success while determining game strategies.