Title of article :
Efficient estimation of Markov-switching model with application in stock price classification
Author/Authors :
Mehrdoust, Farshid Department of Applied Mathematics - Faculty of Mathematical Sciences - University Guilan - Rasht, Iran , Noorani, Idin Department of Applied Mathematics - Faculty of Mathematical Sciences - University Guilan - Rasht, Iran , Khavari, Mahdi Department of Applied Mathematics - Faculty of Mathematical Sciences - University Guilan - Rasht, Iran
Pages :
20
From page :
111
To page :
130
Abstract :
In this paper, we discuss the calibration of the geometric Brownian motion model equipped with Markov-switching factor. Since the motivation for this research comes from a recent stream of literature in stock economics, we propose an efficient estimation method to sample a series of stock prices based on the expectation-maximization algorithm. We also implement an empirical application to evaluate the performance of the suggested model. Numerical results through the classification of the data set show that the proposed Markov-switching model fits the actual stock prices and reflects the main stylized facts of market dynamics. Since the motivation for this research comes from a recent stream of literature in stock economics, we propose an efficient estimation method to sample a series of stock prices based on the expectation-maximization algorithm. Numerical results through the classification of the data set show that the proposed Markov-switching model fits the actual stock prices and reflects the main stylized facts of market dynamics. Since the motivation for this research comes from a recent stream of literature in stock economics, we propose an efficient estimation method to sample a series of stock prices based on the expectation-maximization algorithm.
Keywords :
Expectation-maximization algorithm , Estimation of Parameter , Classification , Regime-switching model
Journal title :
Journal of Mathematics and Modeling in Finance
Serial Year :
2021
Record number :
2702868
Link To Document :
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