Title of article :
Best Linear Predictors in a Stationary Second Order Autoregressive process by means of near and far observations
Author/Authors :
Saber, Mohammad Mahdi Higher Education Center of Eghlid
Abstract :
In this paper, some predictors for prediction in a stationary
second order autoregressive process are introduced. The paper attempts to
find the best predictor for some cases such as circumstances there exist a fixed
number of observations near or far from desired time. Pitman’s measure of
closeness and mean square error of prediction are used in order to comparison
these predictors. The Gaussian and Gamma distributions have been used for
distribution of errors. Finally analysis of two real data sets has also been
presented for illustrative purposes.
Keywords :
Pitman’s measure of closeness , prediction performance , AR(2) model
Journal title :
Journal of Theoretical and Applied Physics