Abstract :
The focus of heuristics is on the content of decisions; however, the contexts
are equally important; that is, where and how heuristics are used will often
have a great influence on the outcome. Engineers need a lot of specialized
skills, hard as well as soft, to successfully apply heuristics, i.e., to identify the
heuristic that best fits the environment. Heuristics can help to lessen (not
eliminate) the cognitive burden. This part of the four-part paper discusses
how heuristics are created, improved, and refuted, and describes what
judgment errors they might cause. In using heuristics, engineers must be
aware of biases, which is examined in this part. The context of decision-
making is also considered, and finally, the paper shows how heuristics should
be used.
In engineering, heuristics are experience-based methods used to reduce the
need for calculations such as equipment size, performance, or operating
conditions. Heuristics are fallible and do not guarantee an optimal solution. It
is important to understand their limitations when applying them to a different
context. Heuristics work well in a stable environment, but if the environment
is complex and changing, heuristics may lose their relevance and require
updating. Though the applicability of heuristics is conditional, they can be of
value when used expertly.
Keywords :
Judgment errors , Heuristics , Biases , Engineering judgment , Intuition & Perception , Situation appreciation , Content & Context