STRATEGIC MANAGING THE DEVELOPMENT OF LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION IN THE REGION

The purpose of the article: to develop economic and mathematical models of the promising development of livestock production, allowing to identify reserves for the growth of meat and dairy products. In this paper, a methodological approach to forecasting is proposed and implemented based on a mathematical model of the promising development of livestock farming on farms. These models take into account the conditions for the implementation of the principle of phased breed conversion of the herd by methods of breeding and purchase of pedigree cattle in order to increase the production and consumption of livestock products per capita. Based on the method of correlation and regression analysis, a mathematical model for predicting milk yield per one feed head and an annual increase in live weight per 1 structural head are constructed. Mathematical models of forecasting and analytical problems are proposed that allow, based on the endogenous parameters of models at the farm level, to integrate to study and predict livestock production at the regional level. According to the results of the study, relevant forward-looking recommendations and suggestions for decision makers have been prepared.