Abstract :
One of the most influential factors in the tourism boom is the security of tourism destinations as well as the security of the adjacent regions of the destinations. Thus in this study, the impact of security on tourism attraction among the Iranian provinces is studied due to the regional spillover effect. Security index derived from the combination of several variables such as data on murder, suspicious deaths, quarrels, conflicts, sedition, bullying, extortion, hooliganism, and suicides divided by provinces and based on the Principal Component Analysis (PCA). Spatial diagnosis tests are done and positive spatial dependency confirmed among the regions and then the model estimated in the form of dynamic spatial panel data by spatial Durbin for the period 2011-2017. The results show that insecurity increase in a region not only reduces the number of tourists in that region (direct effects), but also significantly reduces the number of tourists in nearby regions (spatial spillover effects). While the spatial effects of insecurity index are greater than its direct effects, which means that insecurity increase in a province decreases the number of the tourists of adjacent regions more than the number of the tourists of that province. Also due to the results, beside insecurity the number of specialists, the number of cultural centers, and the information and communication technology index respectively have the most effect on tourist attraction.
