What Is It Worth? Application of Real Options Theory to the Valuation of Generation Assets

An analysis of two generation assets in a regional market in the Northeast demonstrates how a real options-based valuation framework uncovers and quantifies the value of efficient plant operation in the face of volatile electricity market prices. The analysis shows that a peaking gas-fired facility may be more valuable than a mid-merit coal-fired plant, even though traditional methodologies would favor the coal-fired asset given its lower marginal cost.