Title of article :
Forecasting long memory time series when occasional breaks occur
Author/Authors :
Luisa Bisaglia، نويسنده , , Margherita Gerolimetto، نويسنده ,
Issue Information :
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2008
Abstract :
In this paper, in order to investigate if a long memory model will provide good forecasts even if the real DGP is affected by level shifts (as suggested by Diebold, F.X., Inoue, A., 2001. Long memory and regime switching Journal of Econometrics, 105, 131–159) we compare via simulations the forecasting performance of long memory and occasional breaks processes.
Keywords :
Long memory , Occasional structural breaks , forecasting
Journal title :
Economics Letters
Journal title :
Economics Letters