Author/Authors :
Dong Wan Shin، نويسنده , , Yoon Young Jung & Man-Suk Oh، نويسنده ,
Abstract :
This paper proposes various double unit root tests for cross-sectionally dependent panel data. The crosssectional
correlation is handled by the projection method [P.C.B. Phillips and D. Sul, Dynamic panel
estimation and homogeneity testing under cross section dependence, Econom. J. 6 (2003), pp. 217–259;
H.R. Moon and B. Perron, Testing for a unit root in panels with dynamic factors, J. Econom. 122 (2004),
pp. 81–126] or the subtraction method [J. Bai and S. Ng, A PANIC attack on unit roots and cointegration,
Econometrica 72 (2004), pp. 1127–1177]. Pooling or averaging is applied to combine results from different
panel units. Also, to estimate autoregressive parameters the ordinary least squares estimation [D.P. Hasza
and W.A. Fuller, Estimation for autoregressive processes with unit roots, Ann. Stat. 7 (1979), pp. 1106–
1120] or the symmetric estimation [D.L. Sen and D.A. Dickey, Symmetric test for second differencing in
univariate time series, J. Bus. Econ. Stat. 5 (1987), pp. 463–473] are used, and to adjust mean functions the
ordinary mean adjustment or the recursive mean adjustment are used. Combinations of different methods
in defactoring to eliminate the cross-sectional dependency, integrating results from panel units, estimating
the parameters, and adjusting mean functions yields various available tests for double unit roots in panel
data. Simple asymptotic distributions of the proposed test statistics are derived, which can be used to find
critical values of the test statistics.
We perform aMonte Carlo experiment to compare the performance of these tests and to suggest optimal
tests for a given panel data. Application of the proposed tests to a real data, the yearly export panel data
sets of several Latin–American countries for the past 50 years, illustrates the usefulness of the proposed
tests for panel data, in that they reveal stronger evidence of double unit roots than the componentwise
double unit root tests of Hasza and Fuller [Estimation for autoregressive processes with unit roots, Ann.
Stat. 7 (1979), pp. 1106–1120] or Sen and Dickey [Symmetric test for second differencing in univariate
time series, J. Bus. Econ. Stat. 5 (1987), pp. 463–473].
Keywords :
panel double unit roots , recursive adjustment , symmetric estimation , Nonstationarity , defactoring