Title of article :
Parameter changes in GARCH model
Author/Authors :
Kosei Fukuda، نويسنده ,
Issue Information :
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2010
Abstract :
A new method for detecting the parameter changes in generalized autoregressive heteroskedasticity
GARCH (1,1) model is proposed. In the proposed method, time series observations are divided into
several segments and a GARCH (1,1) model is fitted to each segment. The goodness-of-fit of the global
model composed of these local GARCH (1,1) models is evaluated using the corresponding information
criterion (IC). The division that minimizes IC defines the best model. Furthermore, since the simultaneous
estimation of all possible models requires huge computational time, a new time-saving algorithm is
proposed. Simulation results and empirical results both indicate that the proposed method is useful in
analysing financial data
Keywords :
GARCH(1 , 1) , Information criterion , Model selection , parameter change
Journal title :
JOURNAL OF APPLIED STATISTICS
Journal title :
JOURNAL OF APPLIED STATISTICS