Population dynamics of large herbivores: variable recruitment with constant adult survival

Recent long-term studies of population ecology of large herbivorous mammals suggest that survival of prime-aged females varies little from year to year and across populations. Juvenile survival, on the other hand, varies considerably from year to year. The pattern of high and stable adult survival and variable juvenile survival is observed in contrasting environments, independently of the main proximal sources of mortality and regardless of whether mortality is stochastic or density-dependent. High yearly variability in juvenile survival may play a predominant role in population dynamics.