Undermining the Baldwin Expediting Effect: Does Phenotypic Plasticity Accelerate Evolution?

The claim that phenotypic plasticity speeds up evolution towards a target phenotype is a recent incarnation of the Baldwin effect. To differentiate this theory from earlier interpretations of Baldwinʹs ideas, we name it the Baldwin expediting effect. Models that demonstrate this effect assume an extreme fitness scenario which bestows high fitness upon a single optimal phenotype and treats all other phenotypes as equal. In two modeling frameworks, we demonstrate that the effects of plasticity on the rate of evolution are highly dependent on the fitness function and population starting conditions. We argue that phenotypic plasticity does not universally facilitate evolution. Furthermore, in cases where the Baldwin expediting effect occurs, it is not necessarily correlated with increased fitness and therefore is not sufficient to explain the evolutionary success of plasticity.