Association between physician specialty and volumes of treated patients and mortality among patients hospitalized for newly diagnosed heart failure

Purpose To assess the effects of hospital care by a specialist or nonspecialist physician, and by volume of treated patients, on mortality among hospitalized patients with newly diagnosed heart failure. Methods Data describing heart failure patients in Alberta, Canada, from April 1, 1994, to March 31, 2000, were extracted from hospital abstracts and analyzed using hierarchical regression, with adjustment for patient demographic characteristics, comorbid conditions, physician volume, physician specialty, and hospital volume. Results There were 16,162 hospital discharges for heart failure. Nonspecialist physicians were predominantly in the two lowest-volume quartiles (93%) and specialists were predominantly in the two highest-volume quartiles (68%). Considering the effects of volume alone and after adjustment for comorbidity, for each 10 additional hospital patients treated by a physician, the odds ratio for in-hospital mortality was 0.97 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.95 to 0.98), and the odds ratio for 1-year mortality was 0.99 (95% CI: 0.98 to 0.999). In analyses that considered both volume and specialty, the odds of in-hospital mortality decreased by 4% for each 10 additional in-hospital patients treated by a physician (odds ratio [OR] = 0.96; 95% CI: 0.95 to 0.98). In these same analyses, the odds ratio for in-hospital mortality was 1.32 (95% CI: 1.13 to1.53) for general practitioners with specialist consultation and 1.32 (95% CI: 1.08 to 1.61) for specialists compared with general practitioners without specialist consultations. At 1 year, mortality was not associated significantly with the volume of in-hospital patients treated, or with the specialty of the treating physician. Conclusion Treatment by high-volume physicians during hospitalization for newly diagnosed heart failure was associated with a decrease in mortality, but these benefits did not persist at 1 year. The increased mortality noted in patients treated by specialists may be due to residual confounding or unmeasured comorbidity.