• Title of article

    The asymptotic final size distribution of multitype chain-binomial epidemic processes

  • Author/Authors

    Andersson، Mikael نويسنده ,

  • Issue Information
    روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 1999
  • Pages
    -21
  • From page
    22
  • To page
    0
  • Abstract
    A multitype chain-binomial epidemic process is defined for a closed finite population by sampling a simple multidimensional counting process at certain points. The final size of the epidemic is then characterized, given the counting process, as the smallest root of a non-linear system of equations. By letting the population grow, this characterization is used, in combination with a branching process approximation and a weak convergence result for the counting process, to derive the asymptotic distribution of the final size. This is done for processes with an irreducible contact structure both when the initial infection increases at the same rate as the population and when it stays fixed.
  • Keywords
    Joint convergence in distribution , Order statistics , threshold strategies , Poisson random measures , counting r.v.s , continuous mapping principle , strong approximations , Brownian bridge , on-line vs off-line strategies , extreme sums
  • Journal title
    Advances in Applied Probability
  • Serial Year
    1999
  • Journal title
    Advances in Applied Probability
  • Record number

    81175