Title of article :
Are stationarity and cointegration restrictions really
necessary for the intertemporal budget constraint?
Author/Authors :
Henning Bohn، نويسنده ,
Issue Information :
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2007
Abstract :
Time series related to fiscal and external deficits are commonly subjected to stationarity and
cointegration tests to assess if the deficits are sustainable. Such tests are incapable of rejecting
sustainability. The intertemporal budget constraint proves to be satisfied if either the debt series or
the revenue and with-interest spending series are integrated of arbitrarily high order, i.e., stationary
after differencing arbitrarily often. Revenues and spending do not have to be cointegrated. Rejections
of low-order difference-stationarity and of cointegration are thus consistent with the intertemporal
budget constraint. Error-correction-type policy reaction functions are suggested as more promising
for understanding deficit problems.
r 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keywords :
Fiscal deficits , Intertemporal budget constraint , Unit roots , cointegration , External deficits
Journal title :
Journal of Monetary Economics
Journal title :
Journal of Monetary Economics