• Title of article

    Stock markets and criticality in the current economic crisis

  • Author/Authors

    Roberto da Silva، نويسنده , , Marcelo Zembrzuski، نويسنده , , Fabio C. Correa، نويسنده , , Luis C. Lamb، نويسنده ,

  • Issue Information
    روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2010
  • Pages
    8
  • From page
    5460
  • To page
    5467
  • Abstract
    We show that the current economic crisis has led the market to exhibit a non-critical behavior. We do so by analyzing the quantitative parameters of time series from the main assets of the Brazilian Stock Market BOVESPA. By monitoring global persistence we show a deviation of power law behavior during the crisis in a strong analogy with spin systems (from where this concept was originally conceived). Such behavior is corroborated by an emergent heavy tail of absolute return distribution and also by the magnitude autocorrelation exponent. Comparisons with universal exponents obtained in the international stock markets are also performed. This suggests how a thorough analysis of suitable exponents can bring a possible way of forecasting market crises characterized by non-criticality.
  • Journal title
    Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
  • Serial Year
    2010
  • Journal title
    Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
  • Record number

    873983