Title of article :
Stock markets and criticality in the current economic crisis
Author/Authors :
Roberto da Silva، نويسنده , , Marcelo Zembrzuski، نويسنده , , Fabio C. Correa، نويسنده , , Luis C. Lamb، نويسنده ,
Issue Information :
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2010
Pages :
8
From page :
5460
To page :
5467
Abstract :
We show that the current economic crisis has led the market to exhibit a non-critical behavior. We do so by analyzing the quantitative parameters of time series from the main assets of the Brazilian Stock Market BOVESPA. By monitoring global persistence we show a deviation of power law behavior during the crisis in a strong analogy with spin systems (from where this concept was originally conceived). Such behavior is corroborated by an emergent heavy tail of absolute return distribution and also by the magnitude autocorrelation exponent. Comparisons with universal exponents obtained in the international stock markets are also performed. This suggests how a thorough analysis of suitable exponents can bring a possible way of forecasting market crises characterized by non-criticality.
Journal title :
Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Serial Year :
2010
Journal title :
Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Record number :
873983
Link To Document :
بازگشت