• Title of article

    Deterministic regression model and visual basic code for optimal forecasting of financial time series

  • Author/Authors

    Alejandro Balbas، نويسنده , , Beatriz Balbas، نويسنده , , Inna Galperin، نويسنده , , Efim Galperin، نويسنده ,

  • Issue Information
    دوهفته نامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2008
  • Pages
    15
  • From page
    2757
  • To page
    2771
  • Abstract
    A new, non-statistical method is presented for analysis of the past history and current evolution of economic and financial processes. The method is based on the sliding model approach using linear differential or difference equations applied to discrete information in the form of known chronological data (time series) about the process. An algorithm is proposed that allows one to project the current evolution of the process onto some period of its future development. Computer code in visual basic is developed that has been validated in application to American stock index S&P 500, with predicted values within 5% of real data over long periods of the recent past history. The algorithm and the code can be applied to practical problems in finance and economy in time of its normal evolution without catastrophic events.
  • Keywords
    Sliding deterministic regression models , Optimal forecasting in finance
  • Journal title
    Computers and Mathematics with Applications
  • Serial Year
    2008
  • Journal title
    Computers and Mathematics with Applications
  • Record number

    921169