Application of a model to predict cyanobacterial growth patterns in response to climatic change at Farmoor Reservoir, Oxfordshire, UK

The cyanobacterial growth for the next 90 years at Farmoor Reservoir, Oxfordshire is predicted using the cyanobacterial growth model, CLAMM, with data obtained from HADCM2 climate change model. It is predicted that solar radiation at the water-body surface will decrease slightly due to increased cloud cover. Predictions of cyanobacterial growth indicate little change in total production although the main summer growing season may be extended. It is also suggested that increased wind velocities may affect the frequency of ‘blooming incidents’.