چكيده لاتين :
The Iranian real gross domestic product in the period of 1959-2001
reveals a relatively high degree of instability. Some of this instability
almost certainly arises because of external shocks to the economy. This
paper focuses on three shocks, or interventions, which seem to have had
particularly significant impacts on the Iranian economy. These are the
political upheavals of mid 1971 יs, the 1981-1989 War, and the oil shock
and some policy reversals of early 1991 יSo We construct a time series
model for the purpose of intervention analysis and use this model to
calculate the impact on the Iranian economy of each and every of these
interventions.
