چكيده لاتين :
Growth and economic development are the primary goals of all
economies and proper trade policy is one of the essential tools to achieve
this goal. Economic analysts emphasize on promoting Non - Oil Exports as
a successful strategy to achieve high economic growth rates. For this
reason, in economic development plans, increasing of exports is
emphasized as one of the basic instruments to achieve growth and
economic development.
Positive effects of expolis on econonlic growth in developed and
developing countries are proved in empirical studies and it is argued that
countries who have adopted export orientation have enjoyed efficient
resource allocation and higher growth.
In this research using Iranian statistical data for the period 1959-2003
and applying a production function model, we try to examine the impact of
non - oil exports on economic growth.
Estimating econometric models in the case of Iran resulted in
conclusions which are rooted in inherent facts of society and econon1Y, and
reveals considerable facts of Iranian economy. Results show too weak
impact on gross domestic product growth of non - oil exports and also low
factor productivity in export sector relative to non - export sector. It seems
that small share of non oil exports in GDP and inept combination of non oil
exports and high portion of traditional and agricultural products in total
exports are the main reasons. High dependency on oil and lack of basic a.nd
reasonable planning toward non - oil exports promotion is among the other
problems that non - oil export sector is facing.
Keywords: Econotnic Growth, Inlport Substitution strategy, Export
Promotion strategy, Non- Oil Exports, Productivity, Externlalities.
