تقدير الناتج المحتمل والتضخم المستهدف للاقتصاد العراقي للمدة (1990-2014)

Monetary policy is working in the Iraqi more focused on the monetary sector in the absence of the actual use of potential output, this study reflected trying to estimate gap (inflation and output) and analysis of their direction and their impact through the use of model vector error correction to measure the relationship between gap (inflation gap and the gap output), Moreover, the standard results showed that the change in the output gap does not lead to a change in the inflation gap in the short term, as well as the difficulty of estimating potential output.