Title :
Systematic Bayes prior-assignment by coupling the mini-max entropy and moment-matching methods
Author :
Yoon, Won Hyo ; Chang, Soon Heung
Author_Institution :
Korea Inst. of Nucl. Safety, Taejeon, South Korea
fDate :
6/1/1994 12:00:00 AM
Abstract :
The prior is chosen somewhat conservatively, but not arbitrarily, in Bayes analysis for the event whose characteristics are not well understood. It is desirable to get the prior through an objective procedure for the given information. The author´s approach of assigning the pre-prior is by coupling the principle of maximum entropy with the moment-matching method; i.e., to find upper and lower bounds of the population parameter sets-based on upper and lower bounds of the entropy for the given information. The methodology is demonstrated by applying it to the data sets of initiating events taken from the performance of nuclear power plants
Keywords :
Bayes methods; entropy; fission reactor safety; fission reactor theory and design; minimax techniques; nuclear power stations; numerical analysis; reliability; Bayes analysis; Bayes prior-assignment; characteristics; initiating events; lower bounds; mini-max entropy; moment-matching methods; nuclear power plants; objective procedure; performance; population parameter; reliability; upper bounds; Algorithm design and analysis; Entropy; Feeds; Gaussian distribution; Maximum likelihood estimation; Power generation; Risk management; Safety; Statistical analysis; Uncertainty;
Journal_Title :
Reliability, IEEE Transactions on