• DocumentCode
    1127973
  • Title

    Enhancement, implementation, and performance of an adaptive short-term load forecasting algorithm

  • Author

    Grady, W.M. ; Groce, L.A. ; Huebner, T.M. ; Lu, Q.C. ; Crawford, M.M.

  • Author_Institution
    Texas Univ., Austin, TX, USA
  • Volume
    6
  • Issue
    4
  • fYear
    1991
  • fDate
    11/1/1991 12:00:00 AM
  • Firstpage
    1404
  • Lastpage
    1410
  • Abstract
    An adaptive load forecasting algorithm that was originally developed for the one-hour time period has been extensively enhanced and implemented. The major enhancement is the ability to forecast total system hourly load as far ahead as five days. The focus is on the enhancements and implementation of the algorithm. The purpose is to describe the final form of the forecasting model and the overall forecasting procedure; the procedure for utilizing minimum/maximum daily weather forecasts made by the US Weather Bureau: the offline forecasting accuracy based on four years of historical hourly load and weather data; and the implementation of the algorithm on a desktop computer
  • Keywords
    load forecasting; US Weather Bureau; adaptive short-term load forecasting algorithm; daily weather forecasts; offline forecasting accuracy; Adaptive algorithm; Humidity; Load forecasting; Power generation; Power system modeling; Predictive models; Temperature; Weather forecasting; Wind forecasting; Wind speed;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Power Systems, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0885-8950
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/59.116982
  • Filename
    116982