The Wald test and Crame´r-Rao bound for misspecified models in electromagnetic source analysis

By using signal processing techniques, an estimate of activity in the brain from the electro- or magneto-encephalogram (EEG or MEG) can be obtained. For a proper analysis, a test is required to indicate whether the model for brain activity fits. A problem in using such tests is that often, not all assumptions are satisfied, like the assumption of the number of shells in an EEG. In such a case, a test on the number of sources (model order) might still be of interest. A detailed analysis is presented of the Wald test for these cases. One of the advantages of the Wald test is that it can be used when not all assumptions are satisfied. Two different, previously suggested, Wald tests in electromagnetic source analysis (EMSA) are examined: a test on source amplitudes and a test on the closeness of source pairs. The Wald test is analytically studied in terms of alternative hypotheses that are close to the hypothesis (local alternatives). It is shown that the Wald test is asymptotically unbiased, that it has the correct level and power, which makes it appropriate to use in EMSA. An accurate estimate of the Crame´r-Rao bound (CRB) is required for the use of the Wald test when not all assumptions are satisfied. The sandwich CRB is used for this purpose. It is defined for nonseparable least squares with constraints required for the Wald test on amplitudes. Simulations with EEG show that when the sensor positions are incorrect, or the number of shells is incorrect, or the conductivity parameter is incorrect, then the CRB and Wald test are still good, with a moderate number of trials. Additionally, the CRB and Wald test appear robust against an incorrect assumption on the noise covariance. A combination of incorrect sensor positions and noise covariance affects the possibility of detecting a source with small amplitude.