• DocumentCode
    1154188
  • Title

    A New Approach to Forecasting Daily Peak Loads [includes discussion]

  • Author

    Gillies, D.K.A. ; Bernholtz, B. ; Sandiford, P.J.

  • Author_Institution
    NONMEMBIER AEEE, The Hydro-Electric Power Commission of Ontario, Toronto, Ont., Canada.
  • Volume
    75
  • Issue
    3
  • fYear
    1956
  • Abstract
    A new definition of a standard base load for an electrical utility allows the separation of the load into base, annual growth, and weather components. With this system, a method of load forecasting for Ontario Hydro has been developed and tested for 10 months. The median error on forecasts made 24 hours in advance has been 1.0 per cent (%). Tables enabling the conversion of a weather forecast into a daylight illumination forecast are also given.
  • Keywords
    Clouds; Demand forecasting; Economic forecasting; Fluctuations; Lighting; Load forecasting; Power generation economics; Power system economics; Water storage; Weather forecasting;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Power Apparatus and Systems, Part III. Transactions of the American Institute of Electrical Engineers
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0097-2460
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/AIEEPAS.1956.4499315
  • Filename
    4499315