Title :
A New Approach to Forecasting Daily Peak Loads [includes discussion]
Author :
Gillies, D.K.A. ; Bernholtz, B. ; Sandiford, P.J.
Author_Institution :
NONMEMBIER AEEE, The Hydro-Electric Power Commission of Ontario, Toronto, Ont., Canada.
Abstract :
A new definition of a standard base load for an electrical utility allows the separation of the load into base, annual growth, and weather components. With this system, a method of load forecasting for Ontario Hydro has been developed and tested for 10 months. The median error on forecasts made 24 hours in advance has been 1.0 per cent (%). Tables enabling the conversion of a weather forecast into a daylight illumination forecast are also given.
Keywords :
Clouds; Demand forecasting; Economic forecasting; Fluctuations; Lighting; Load forecasting; Power generation economics; Power system economics; Water storage; Weather forecasting;
Journal_Title :
Power Apparatus and Systems, Part III. Transactions of the American Institute of Electrical Engineers
DOI :
10.1109/AIEEPAS.1956.4499315
